Modelling Coronavirus Mortality and Implications on Population Dynamics in the Absence of Vaccination

The reported global figures of Coronavirus (COVID-19) cases and fatalities most probably underestimate the magnitude of the pandemic, as coverage and efficiency in screening and testing for COVID-19 vary from country to country. Inappropriate interpretation of official COVID-19 figures could misinform decision makers in the private and public sectors and consequently undermine effective intervention and management of COVID-19. In a seminar organised by the Population Studies and Research Institute, University of Nairobi, Emeritus Professor Eric O Udjo using South African data, critically examined COVID-19 fatality official figures and secondly, drew attention on the implications of COVID-19 fatality on population dynamics in the absence of vaccination.


Author: E.O. Udjo 2021